| Sydney, 7 September 2006
Results from today’s Cashcard Retail Activity Index reported Seasonally Adjusted consumer spending levels of $18.2 billion for the month, an increase of only 0.1% (adjusted) from July spending levels.
The Trend estimate rose 0.5% in August following 0.5% increases in both June and July.
Raw spending levels reached the $18.0 billion mark for the fourth consecutive month. This was a 0.4% increase from July to August and follows an increase of 2.7% and 0.1% in July and June respectively for unadjusted consumer retail spending.
For First Data International’s Managing Director for Australia, New Zealand and South Asia, Greg Nash it was business as usual for the month.
“The data for August did not produce any standout retail spending results, nor did we see any spending spikes courtesy of the impending Father’s Day celebration,” said Mr. Nash.
“This may possibly be attributed to last minute spending in early September or else consumers may be following a simpler celebration pattern for the day. Possibly Dad will just be taken out for lunch and smaller gifts are the norm. There were certainly no stand out days attributable to Father’s Day sales campaigns.”
The lack of consumer spending highlights for the month is also no surprise for the Australian Retailers Association spokesperson, Duncan Shaw.
“Food and department store sales continue to be performing well,” he said.
“However retailers that are performing well are continuing to remain focused on what the consumer wants. They have carefully identified the market segment that they would like to operate within and are meeting ongoing consumer demands on pricing and value. Consumers we believe will spend a little more for additional features but won’t spend indiscriminately. Consumers really do drive the market today,” Shaw concluded.
The Cashcard Retail Activity Index is based on EFTPOS activity, the dollar value estimate for all transactions (cash, EFTPOS, credit cards and cheques). The monthly estimate is calculated using only EFTPOS transaction data processed by Cashcard, and modelling the relationship of EFTPOS transactions to all transactions.
The Cashcard Retail Activity Index is the most up to date indicator of Australia’s retail spending and is independently prepared by PriceWaterhouseCoopers.
The next edition of the Index (September 2006) will be released Thursday 5th October, 2006.
For full reports of the Cashcard RAI please visit http://www.cashcard.com.au/News.htm.
Current Index
Index for August 2006
| |
Retail Trade Estimate Aug 2006 $ billions |
Index at
Aug 2006 |
Jul 2006
to
Aug 2006
% change |
Aug 2005
to
Aug 2006
% change |
| Trend |
18.2 |
127.3 |
0.5 |
4.5 |
| Seasonally Adjusted |
18.2 |
124.5 |
0.1 |
2.8 |
| Raw |
18.0 |
128.9 |
0.4 |
4.5 |
Key Statistics
-
We have revised our trend for August 05 onwards, to reflect the continued positive growth in retail trade since then. The trend estimate for the Cashcard Retail Activity Index rose 0.5% in August following 0.5% rises in June and July.
-
We have also revised the Seasonally Adjusted index for April 06 onwards. The estimate increased 0.1% in August following increases of 0.7% in July and 0.4% in June.
-
There was a 0.4% increase in the Raw Index in August which follows an increase of 2.7% in July and 0.1% in June.
Change in the Seasonally-adjusted Cashcard RAI Series

Trend Graph

Cashcard Retail Activity Index

Historic Indices
| |
|
Trend |
Seasonally
Adjusted |
Raw |
|
|
Trend |
Seasonally
Adjusted |
Raw |
| |
|
Index |
|
|
Monthly
Change % |
| 2005 |
|
|
|
|
2005 |
|
|
|
|
| |
August |
121.8 |
121.1 |
123.3 |
|
August |
-0.1 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
| |
September |
121.8 |
121.6 |
125.2 |
|
September |
0.0 |
0.4 |
1.5 |
| |
October |
121.9 |
120.6 |
127.9 |
|
October |
0.1 |
-0.8 |
2.2 |
| |
November |
122.1 |
120.6 |
129.0 |
|
November |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.9 |
| |
December |
122.6 |
121.2 |
163.1 |
|
December |
0.3 |
0.5 |
26.4 |
| 2006 |
|
|
|
|
2006 |
|
|
|
|
| |
January |
123.1 |
120.5 |
123.4 |
|
January |
0.4 |
-0.6 |
-24.3 |
| |
February |
123.7 |
120.7 |
112.2 |
|
February |
0.5 |
0.2 |
-9.0 |
| |
March |
124.3 |
121.2 |
124.1 |
|
March |
0.5 |
0.4 |
10.6 |
| |
April |
124.9 |
121.8 |
123.2 |
|
April |
0.5 |
0.5 |
-0.7 |
| |
May |
125.5 |
123.0 |
124.8 |
|
May |
0.5 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
| |
June |
126.1 |
123.3 |
124.9 |
|
June |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
| |
July |
126.7 |
124.3 |
128.3 |
|
July |
0.5 |
0.7 |
2.7 |
| |
August |
127.3 |
124.5 |
128.9 |
|
August |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
|